white-house

Oil prices skyrocketed on Monday morning as U.S. President Donald Trump’s health appears to have improved after testing positive for the coronavirus on Thursday evening.

At 11:06 a.m. EDT, the price of the WTI benchmark had risen by 6.15% to $39.33. While the gains are substantial for the day, they are still under the $40 per barrel mark, and still under where prices were just a week ago, as both major benchmarks stumbled on Friday as reports came in that President Trump had tested positive.

But by Monday, White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows suggested that the President was improving, and was ready to return to work as usual. Meadows also indicated that President Trump could return to the White House later today. The U.S. President also took a few moments out of his hospital sequestration on Sunday to appear in a motorcade to wave to his supporters.

While Trump took criticism for his brash move on Sunday, his appearance instilled confidence in the markets.

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Source: Oil Price

crude-oil-shortage

If there’s one thing three of the world’s most prominent geologists, geochemists and drill completion experts agree on it’s this: Namibia’s Kavango Basin could end up being the last major onshore oil discovery on Earth.

There’s almost no known major sources of oil or gas left to discover on land, except in a few wildly underexplored parts of Africa.

There aren’t likely to be any more huge discoveries in Nigeria and Angola, Africa’s No. 1 and No.2 producers, respectively, and environmental disasters, corruption, and heavy-handed tax regimes are rendering both increasingly toxic.

Namibia hasn’t produced a single barrel of oil in its history – onshore or offshore.

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Source: Oil Price

Almost anything that could go wrong in 2020 did go wrong. The year started with the Russian/Saudi oil price war and then the COVID-19 pandemic hit the U.S. and the rest of the world, which caused dramatic drops in crude demand and extreme price volatility. As a result, the confluence of these events led to an unprecedented wave of bankruptcies and restructurings throughout the upstream oil and gas industry.

As more companies contemplate bankruptcy or restructuring arrangements, could the time be right for onshore drilling rigs and assets to be snagged at bargain prices? With a known capital outlay, plus other ancillary costs and limited downside, what players are willing to acquire these assets and not leave them as paperweights? The risk-takers? The risk-averse? Oil and gas producers themselves?

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Source: JD Supra

oil-production

The American Petroleum Institute (API) reported on Tuesday a draw in crude oil inventories of 9.517 million barrels for the week ending September 11.

Analysts had predicted an inventory draw of 1.271-million barrels.

In the previous week, the API reported a build in crude oil inventories of 2.970 million barrels, after analysts had predicted a smaller draw of 1.335 million barrels.

Oil prices were trading up on Tuesday afternoon before the API’s data release, but the rising prices come only after a brutal trading day in the day prior when oil prices sunk to their lowest levels since June.

In the hours leading up to Tuesday’s data release, at 2:36 pm EDT, WTI had risen by $1.03 (+2.76%) to $38.29. While up significantly on the day, WTI is trading only a few cents up on the week. The Brent crude benchmark had risen by $0.89 at 2:38 pm (+2.25%) to $40.50. But compared to last week, Brent is trading down $0.25 compared to last week.

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Source: Oil Price

5G

Analysts at Fitch Solutions Country Risk & Industry Research have outlined in a new report that they do not expect 5G to have a significant role in oil and gas operations in the next five years, as low oil prices have reduced the capital expenditure outlook.

In the report, which was sent to Rigzone on Tuesday, the analysts noted that the promise of 5G would fit multiple areas of both upstream and downstream operations but highlighted that overall investment in the industry would be limited over the next half decade.

“Historically, in periods of low oil prices in addition to investment reduction, the oil and gas industry’s focus turns to improving efficiency,” the analysts stated in the report.

“Based on our five-year Brent forecast, oil prices across the period will average well below recent years, a sign that increased investment across the industry will likely be lower than in the recent past. The lower oil price outlook will both limit overall investment and push the industry to greater efficiency by reducing costs and improving productivity,” the analysts added.

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Source: Rigzone

offshore

Oil producers in the western Gulf of Mexico are bracing for yet another storm this week as Tropical Storm Beta is moving toward west and northwest, threatening storm conditions along the south Texas coast later on Monday.

As early as on Saturday, Royal Dutch Shell said it had evacuated all personnel from the Perdido platform in the western Gulf of Mexico and had shut in production, as a precautionary measure ahead of Tropical Storm Beta, while all rigs in the area “are monitoring the weather and are securing operations.”

The National Hurricane Center warned in an advisory early on Monday that it had issued a Storm Surge Warning—meaning that there is a danger of life-threatening flooding, from rising water moving inland from the coastline during the next 36 hours.

Sabine Pass, Galveston Bay, and Corpus Christi Bay—where oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminals and infrastructure is located—could see water surging if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide, the National Hurricane Center said. Flash, urban, and river flooding is likely, the center noted.

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Source: Oil Price

drilling-hotspot

The oil industry in South America is in sever need of positive stimuli – the Argentinian shale wonder has just survived a near-collapse of its government only to be stalled by the coronavirus, Venezuela is falling ever lower, whilst Colombia is struggling to kickstart its oft-lauded shale bounty. Suriname, a Dutch-speaking nation of some 600 000 people, might become just that, South America’s next drilling hotspot. The previous Guyana has had a phenomenal string of successes with its exploratory wells, up until 2020 18 out of the total 20 wells spudded wielded commercially exploitable reserves. Could neighboring Suriname follow in Guyana’s footsteps with an equally awe-inspiring drilling tally? So far it seems that there is every reason to believe it can.

There are two major differences between Suriname and Guyana. The first, and perhaps less important, is that Suriname has been producing some crude from onshore assets since the 1930s, thus oil would not come as an entire novelty for the South American nation’s authorities. The second is that Suriname has had to struggle its way through initial disillusionment, the path to success was by no means immediate and linear. Just as Guyana’s Liza discovery was heating up interest towards the Guyana-Suriname basin, Kosmos Energy drilled the Anapai and Pontoenoe wildcats in 2017 – the first encountered high quality reservoirs but no hydrocarbons, whilst the second found hydrocarbons but was water-bearing. Apache, too, had had unsuccessful wildcats in 2015 and 2017 at Block 53 before starting off a string of high-profile discoveries.

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Source: Oil Price

crude-oil-prices

Crude oil prices inched up further today after the Energy Information Administration reported a crude oil inventory draw of 4.4 million barrels for the week to September 11. Fuel inventories were mixed.

At 496 million barrels, the EIA said, crude oil stockpiles continue to be above the five-year average for this time of the year.

Analysts had expected an inventory build of a bit over 2 million barrels for the period, after last week the EIA reported a build of the same amount for the first week of September.

Gasoline inventories, the authority said, shed 400,000 barrels in the second week of September. That’s compared with a draw of 3 million barrels for the previous week. Gasoline production averaged 8.8 million bpd in the week to September 11, compared with 8.9 million bpd a week earlier.

Driving season has been weak this year, unsurprisingly for many, although some still hoped that it would lead to major drawdowns in both crude oil and gasoline inventories in the world’s largest oil consumer. Once it ended, more builds can reasonably be expected.

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Source: Oil Price

All homes and schools in Colorado should be protected from new oil and gas drilling by a 2,000-foot buffer or setback – four times the current standard for urban areas, a majority of the members of the Colorado Oil and Gas Conservation Commission said.

In a session Wednesday to review proposed rule changes on setbacks, four of the five commissioners voiced support for an extended setback to protect public health and safety, as well as reduce nuisances such as odors, noise and heavy traffic.

The one commissioner expressing reservations about the 2,000-foot setback was Bill Gonzalez, a former oil and gas industry executive. “I don’t think that is the right number and the right way of going about it,” he said.

Jeff Robbins, the commission chairman, said that the expanded setback was in line with the COGCC’s change in mission — defined in Senate Bill 181 — from promoting oil and gas development to the protection of public safety, health, welfare and the environment in regulating the oil and gas industry.

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Source: The Colorado Sun

us-oil-producers

For years, some Coloradans have called for changes to how far oil and gas wells have to be from places like schools or homes. Those calls have led to some incremental changes, but in 2018, voters rejected an attempt to significantly increase minimum distances known as setbacks.

Yet now, state regulators will take another swing at it, this time with a new set of ground rules as they debate how far oil and gas development needs to be from schools and housing like apartment buildings. The stakes are high: In a few months, how Colorado regulates oil and gas development could be very different. The industry, politicians, and advocates against fossil fuels all see the work happening now as the main venue to hash out their differences.

The new ground rules, born out of a 2019 state law passed by Democrats, say that health and safety have to be bigger considerations for state regulators when they approve or deny permits from oil and gas companies.

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Source: Colorado Public Radio